Archive forInvesting in India

The India Funds, INP and what should one do?

Before INP (Barclays India Exchange Traded Note) showed up, the only options other than regular mutual funds were the CEF’s - IFN (India Fund Inc.) and IIF (Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund). Both IIF and IFN were easily beating the Indian Market (BSE and NSE). Then came INP - An Exchange Traded Note. I won’t go into details but INP tracks the top 68 stocks in the NSE including dividends. No dividends are actually paid to the stockholders, they are just automatically reinvested into the share price of INP.

Both the India funds IIF and IFN used to trade at significant premiums and both now trade at discounts of about 13%! (as of Friday). Over the last year, while the Indian Stock Market has reached and stayed around all time highs (albeit with some volatility), IIF and IFN have not moved significantly with their discount steepening.

So what should one do to invest in India? For now, I would recommend INP but there are some golden opportunities with IFN too. Over the last few years when IFN was trading at a premium, I used to buy some more using their annual rights offer at 5% disount to NAV (which normally was a 20% discount to the trading price). Now that IFN is trading at a discount and it might continue to do so, one can make use of their semi-annual repurchase offer to make some money. Buy at 13% discount, sell at 2% discount. This scheme however may not work as well as you would hope because the discount is likely to narrow before the offer.

That said, over the long term you probably won’t go wrong with any of the India investments. But hey, as usual don’t just take my word for it, do your own research before investing.

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India Fund Revisited

The India Fund Inc. now trades at a nearly 10% discount compared with a nearly 20% premium same time last year. The Indian stock market BSE index is now back over 14000 and stocks are doing well, however the premium on IFN does not seem to be improving. This is probably a good time to buy.

Premiums on Indian ADRs are also much lower than they used to be and it may be a good time to get in to those too. TTM is up about 18% since I bought some before my last post and that is without any increase to the premium. If the trend continues, the premium will rise too.

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Tata Motors - TTM

I opened a position in Tata Motors Ltd. a few days ago when the share price in Rs. dropped below 700. According to my ADR premium tracker, the premium on TTM had dropped to almost nothing (currently it is about 2%). Also TTM had dropped about 20% YTD then so I took that as a good chance to do some bottom feeding on this stock.

Tata Motors is one of India’s largest automakers and has shown consistently strong sales growth by meeting market needs. Tata also plans a 100,000 Rs. (roughly 2500$) no frills car for the Indian market and if successful expectations are for it to be a strong success. TTM, though already one of Indias largest companies has room to expand along with the growing Indian economy and it also has the potential to grow through exports (which so far are not really noteworthy).

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INP Again, My Portfolio Analysis

IndiaA few days ago, I opened a position in INP (Barclays Bank Zero Cpn ETN(ITR) - see my previous post on INP) increasing Parchayi and my investment in India to 16% of our total investments.

WorldA breakdown of our portfolio (including all stocks and mutual funds) shows 98% investment in stocks, 2% in bonds (via some mutual fund). Of the stocks 61% are US and 39% International. Of the International Stock 60% is in Emerging Markets and 40% in Developed Markets. Currently my target for our portfolio is 50/50 US/International and 60/40 Emerging/Developed so we are off the target portfolio as far as US/International goes, but my international part is exactly on target, by co-incidence more than design. About 28% of our portfolio is in individual stocks and the rest is in mutual funds/etfs.

As an investor it is always nice to have a target asset allocation and periodically check how far off you are. I have shown my breakdown by market but it is also nice to have a breakdown by cap, sector etc. to make sure that the portfolio is properly diversified. For example I realized that our portfolio is heavily weighted towards large cap stocks. So my next order of business is to increase mid-cap holdings. Our individual stock holdings are all in different sectors and the funds we own are mostly index funds that are not sector targetted.

It is a simple task to get all this information and it took me less than 5 minutes to get this information from different accounts.

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Another Option to Invest in India - INP

Barclay’s iPath MSCI India Index ETN (Exchange Traded Note) - INP (details here) is the newest way to invest in the Indian Stock market. INP is traded like a regular stock and tracks the MSCI India Index. It pays no dividends, just tracks the index.

The MSCI India Index is currently comprised of the top 68 companies by market capitalization listed on the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE). As far as I can tell the index is designed to include both the price gains and income from dividends. So even though INP does not pay out dividends, they are included in the price gain. This seems to be a very tax efficient way of investing. I’m thinking of opening a position in INP beginning of next year. Forbes did not paint a good picture for India here, but I am committed to investing in India for the long term.

The India Fund Inc. (IFN) recently announced a dividend of $3.46/share taking the total dividend for 2006 to $5.12!! Even though the IFN price did not recover to its all time high (The Indian indices did recover to record levels), the 11% dividend and the about 15% price gain made it a great investment for 2006. It has been a volatile but worthwhile holding since I first bought IFN in 2003.

Happy New Year and wishing you great returns in 2007!

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Time to Load Up on Some More India Fund??

India Fund Inc. premium as of Dec. 1 was only 3.69% which is extremely low for IFN especially with the strong bull market in India. The BSE is at record levels nearing 14,000 and shows no signs of stopping. Inspite of this IFN has remained steady for the last few weeks causing its premium to drop. Also in the near future, there is a strong likelyhood of a dividend. It may not be as much as last years $5.53/share but I’m hoping it will be nice.

The other India Fund - Morgan Stan India Inv Fd - IIF was trading at a discount of 0.47% as of Dec. 1!! I don’t follow that closely but you might want to check that out as another option to invest in India.

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Yes, Oversubscription for me!

In a previous post, I mentioned that I did not get oversubscribed shares for the India Fund Inc. However, that is officialy wrong. The shares got deposited today! Yipee. Some more free IFN for me.

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